Welcome to another edition of Payout Perspective! We’ll be taking a look at UFC 123: Jackson vs. Machida that was held at The Palace at Auburn Hills just outside Detroit, Michigan on Saturday, November 20th. In addition to the light heavyweight showdown between former champions Jackson and Machida, the event also featured the rubber match between BJ Penn and Matt Hughes.
Rampage survives late onslaught, judging system called into question
Rampage Jackson was the aggressor over the first two rounds and survived a late push from Machida to earn a split decision victory on Saturday night. The result of the fight has many questioning the validity of MMA’s current scoring system as Jackson won more rounds, but Machida did more damage in aggregate with his late flurry in the third round that almost finished Rampage both on strikes and via an armbar. It certainly makes sense to look at a different scoring system – e.g., the half-point system – but I’m not sure any significant progress will be made without a huge effort on part of the UFC to pass changes through the Unified Rules.
Jackson was clearly the most popular fighter on the night. It’s probably better for UFC business to have him win, as opposed to Machida whose style can, at times, leave fans wanting. Although, it’s difficult to say what’s next for Jackson, because the entire 205lbs division has seemingly been put on hold with the injury of Shogun and unwillingness of Rashad Evans to fight anyone else. The winner of either Jones vs. Bader or Griffin vs. Franklin would appear to be most likely, but those are fights that likely won’t take place until mid-Spring at the earliest.
Penn annihilates Hughes, set to face Fitch at 126
BJ Penn dominated Matt Hughes like no other and, in doing so, issued a clear statement to the UFC – he’s not done yet. This is obviously great news for the UFC from a business perspective, because BJ is one of the most popular fighters in the UFC and he’ll be used to bolster at least the next few fight cards in which he participates. Dana White mentioned at the post-fight press conference that Penn would fight Jon Fitch in February at UFC 127 in Sydney, Australia.
The UFC has put together strings of excellent fights over the past couple years – the most recent being March through August of 2010 – but it’s never put together a full year. However, that could all change given the UFC-WEC merger and what that has already meant for the start of the UFC’s 2011 campaign.
UFC 125: Edgar vs. Maynard and Aldo vs. Grispi
UFC 126: Silva vs. Belfort, Jones vs. Bader, and Torres vs. Banuelos
UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch and Bisping vs. Rivera
UFC 128: Shogun vs. Evans and Ortiz vs. Nogeuira
The UFC has broken its PPV total two years in a row (2008 and 2009). It will officially break the record again this year. Yet, the odds of the company breaking the record for a fourth consecutive year seem quite good.
UFC 123 a non-title fight model
The folding of the WEC into the UFC should limit the number of non-title UFC PPV events in the future, but UFC 123 is definitely a model for how to book a non-title event when its necessary. The UFC used four former title holders in Jackson, Machida, Penn, and Hughes to anchor this fight card and then supplemented the show with a host of intriguing match-ups. I doubt it will sell beyond 600k, but it likely provided enough incentive for most of the hardcore fan base to purchase the card and bring in a 400-500k buyrate.
In the absence of the title draw, the UFC must continue to leverage former titleholders that already possess material levels of equity in order to draw fans to the card. It cannot rely on would-be contenders to headline shows, because few people have heard of them – regardless of whether they may fight for a title some day. If those contenders need exposure then place them on the main card; not in a headlining position.
Sponsorship Watch
In October, Boost Mobile officially announced its partnership with the UFC. I thought UFC 123 would provide the brand with an excellent platform to introduce and activate the partnership given that Rampage Jackson, its primary fighter endorsement, was also headlining the card. I was wrong.
The brand continues to run with the same “Your Town, Our Fighter” promotion they opened with and it really hasn’t added any new activation to the fold other than some minimal social media engagement through Facebook and Twitter. I understand that Boost isn’t Sprint’s priority, but there are a host of cost-effective measures the company could employ to better activate around this partnership and essentially own the UFC’s mobile category.
I don’t know the exact details of the sponsorship deal or if there were any advertising/activation requirements, but this is yet another example of a brand coming to the UFC and missing an opportunity to claim value. Not only is the brand leaving money on the table, but it’s detrimental to the UFC as well. The purpose of sponsorship isn’t just to sell additional advertising inventory, but to leverage the partnership to better engage its fan base and add value to the consumer experience.
Yes, the UFC can only do so many things at once – expand to new markets, lobby for further legalization, improve regulation and drug testing, etc. – but the way it influences sponsorship activation directly effects its core marketing strategy. This isn’t a small matter.
Note: I’ve been slacking on the Sponsorship Blue Book lately, but I promise a comprehensive update is coming prior to December 11th!
Nissl says
Regarding scoring, I would like to see a half-point system, or just switch the instructions to the judges. 10-10 if the round is within a strike, 10-9 for a narrow win, 10-8 for a solid win, 10-7 for winning like is a 10-8 today.
I would also like to see all main events go 5 rounds. I wouldn’t mind seeing co-main events regularly go 5 rounds either. I suppose there are issues regarding where you draw the line, but I think it would actually provide a nice selling point if you limited it to numbered UFC events.
Of course that looks unlikely to matter in 2011, as the UFC really have helped themselves via the WEC merger. Following the first 4 cards they should have the HW and BW championships, and crowd favorites like Lesnar and Rampage returning. I actually wonder where they fit Rampage into the schedule as a main event. Seems odd to give him a demotion after winning and I can’t imagine it would sit well with his fans.
Finally, I think you may be a hair pessimistic on your estimates for pay per view. This card was during TUF and Rampage and Penn should both have some drawing power with the casual audience. The card also got a pretty positive advance buzz from the hardcore.
Brain Smasher says
I wrote an email a long time ago about the scoring. I believe it was a writer at mmaweekly.com. I am a strong supporter of the 1/10th point system ex ample 9.7 etc. We all know some 10-9 rounds are better than others. I see some starting to support a half point system. I think the half point system will lead to more problems. Last nights fight with the half point system would have resulted in a draw. Draws are the worst thing a promotion can have. They are uneventful and leave both fighters losing momentium rather than 1 person gaining. As strange as it is the winner of close “coin toss” fights gets a huge boost with the win. Sometimes even if everyone disagreed with the decision. A month later everyone just looks at the record regardless of what really happened. So its important the UFC or any other promotion doesnt even up with a litany of draws. Keep in mind a draw was the biggest reason the UFC scrapped the 155 division years ago. It leaves everyone with an empty feeling.
The write i wrote to claimed the 1/10 point system was “to complicated”. I disagree. This is the system used in the Olympics in almost every sport and understood the world over. Fraction of a point system allows you to spot corrupt or incompetent judges. For example 9.7,9.8, and 9.1. One judge clearly stand out from the others. Its currently to easy for a judge to say “it was close but i picked the other guy”. Did he really think it was close or did he know he could effect the out come of the fight with his score of 1 round? Also it would make it much harder for fights to be decided by the close rounds.
Anthony @ Prokarateshop says
Though I think Rampage could have lost that fight, i do think it was better for him to win with the ensuing drama. This will make for a great subplot for a rematch.
rick says
So let me understand what most complainers are saying about the result from the Machida vs Rampage fight, that Machida got robbed? Idk..but it would be safe to say the first two were to close to call and the third rd..Machida won for sure. OK thats where its confusing if the first two rds were to close to call and they happend to go with Rampage,,thats why they were close rds..the fact that they happend to go for Rampge does not make the whole scoring issue a problem with this fight..!!! Hummm…mabye..STHU suck it up and move on, Rampage was given this fight becasue the judges saw it that way..on the 2 close rds…!
Machiel Van says
Good breakdown of the fight from UFC.com I’d agree with the way DiSanto scored the fight. I’m not surprised by the “controversy,” though I do think it was unwarranted. Far worse judging travesties have occurred in the past, even on that same night (Tyson Griffin vs Nik Lentz).
http://www.ufc.com/news/UFC-123-Musings